Tracking the Crisis The Great Financial Crisis gathered like a slowly building storm long before it caught the attention of most of us. Quant models failed in the summer of 2007, LIBOR spiked a few months later, and then the Auction Rate market froze in...
Economic Reflections
Shape of Recovery | April 20 – 24, 2020
“When will this end?” quickly has become the most common question we field. The “this” in the question covers deaths by COVID-19 and social distancing, negative economic growth, weak investment markets, high unemployment, and tremendous uncertainty. It means, when...
Energy and Economic Vitality | April 13 – 17, 2020
Energy is an expression and a driver of society’s economic health. Prior to COVID-19, the sector was going through massive transformation with the gradual but steady growth of renewables, while also experiencing an intense storm of geopolitical posturing, particularly...
Market Liquidity and the U.S. Federal Reserve | April 6 – 10, 2020
While much of the world’s attention during the COVID-19 pandemic understandably has been focused on the dramatic effects on health, jobs, social interactions, and family finances, the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) has been leading an aggressive effort to keep the...
Coronavirus Impacts Retail | March 30 – April 3, 2020
As confirmed COVID-19 cases surpass the 1.1 million mark globally (source: John Hopkins), the economic impacts of the virus-induced economic shutdown are starting to become evident. Jobless claims in the United States surged by 10 million people over the last two...
Unemployment Benefits | March 23 – 27, 2020
As of March 27, 2020, 217 million Americans across 23 states, 84 counties, 17 cities and one territory formally are being urged by government officials to stay home. (Source: NY Times). The economic effects are reflected in last week’s record-breaking 3.3 million...
An Acceleration of Effects | March 16 – 20, 2020
As of March 20, The World Health Organization (WHO) has confirmed 209,839 cases of people testing positive for COVID-19 across 168 countries and territories, a significant increase from what was reported just one week ago. As the number of cases and deaths increases,...
Market Volatility | March 9 – 15, 2020
Last week was defined by market volatility, fledgling government policy responses, and a broader adoption of social distancing, both voluntary and directed. All markets have been volatile, with the 10 Year US Treasury yield moving from 0.54% on Monday to 0.96% by end...
Equity Markets | March 2 – 6, 2020
For the week ending Friday, March 6, 2020, the equity markets were extremely volatile and yet ended the week +0.5%. The market digested a surprise rate cut from the US Federal Reserve, increasing cases of COVID-19 globally, unexpected Super Tuesday primary results in...
On Coronavirus
The rising number of coronavirus cases and heightened media attention on the situation have contributed to an increase of stock and bond market volatility, introducing higher uncertainty to the short-term investment outlook.Over the past twenty years, our team has...
Decisions, Decisions
“The most informed investors intentionally seek out opposing views and conflicting data sets to incorporate into their decision-making process.” As a global community, people are struggling to access, process, and use data effectively to make good decisions. Bombarded...
2019 First Quarter Commentary
Global equities are off to their best start in over 20 years, serving as a reminder that fundamentals matter and market timing a thoughtful and high-quality strategy can be more dangerous than volatility itself.